Electoral Scoreboard (Jul 7 - Nov 02): Kerry 247, Bush 274, Toss-Up 17

In the table below are given for each state, the median margin of victory as a percentage by either candidate (Kerry in blue, Bush in red); also given are the win-loss record and the number of electors from each state. All data were gathered from www.electoral-vote.com
Explanation of method ... All Polls in the Last Month ... Blank Map for Election Night

Med.
MOV
(%)		 W-L-T E.V. Med.
MOV
(%)		 W-L-T E.V.
AL 17.0 11-0-0 9 MT 21.0 4-0-0 3
AK 27.0 1-0-0 3 NE2 30.0 2-0-0 5
AZ 8.0 18-0-0 10 NV 3.0 29-4-1 5
AR 2.5 15-0-3 6 NH 3.0 19-4-6 4
CA 10.5 24-0-0 55 NJ 5.0 33-2-2 15
CO1 1.0 21-6-4 9 NM 0.5 15-13-2 5
CT 9.5 4-0-0 7 NY 16.0 17-0-0 31
DC 67.0 1-0-0 3 NC 8.0 29-0-0 15
DE 8.0 2-0-0 3 ND 24.5 2-0-0 3
FL 1.0 58-27-14 27 OH 2.0 65-20-5 20
GA 16.0 19-0-0 15 OK 30.0 21-0-0 7
HI 3.5 2-1-1 4 OR 6.0 26-3-0 7
ID 29.0 1-0-0 4 PA 3.0 77-10-10 21
IL 11.5 16-0-0 21 RI 19.0 4-0-0 4
IN 19.0 12-0-0 11 SC 12.0 15-0-0 8
IA 0.0 26-22-8 7 SD 16.0 8-0-0 3
KS 23.0 5-0-0 6 TN 6.5 14-3-1 11
KY 17.0 9-0-0 8 TX 22.0 6-0-0 34
LA 15.0 8-0-0 9 UT 42.5 4-0-0 5
ME2 4.0 9-1-1 4      Map layout by J. Richard Gott, III. The area of each state is directly proportional to its number of electoral votes. Note also that the topology of the states is correct in that all states that touch in reality touch on the map, and states that do not touch in reality do not touch on the map.

*Asterisked states have no poll available in the time window; the most recent has been used.
1-Colorado referendum to split electors proportionally to its popular vote is behind in polls. [explanations]
2-Maine and Nebraska award two electoral votes to the popular vote winner, then assign the other electors by congressional district. [explanations]
      VT 11.5 2-0-0 3
MD 10.0 11-0-1 10 VA 5.0 16-0-0 13
MA 27.5 4-0-0 12 WA 7.0 26-0-1 11
MI 3.0 72-5-8 17 WV 5.0 12-2-1 5
MN 2.0 47-18-12 10 WI 0.0 25-23-4 10
MS 9.0 1-0-0 6 WY 36.0 1-0-0 3
MO 3.0 22-6-1 11
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